Choose your own adventure: Demolitions Expert!
Landon Reed
You must choose: I want to read this article (see #1) or I
don't wish to benefit from the great content IDPBlitz provides (skip to the end)
1. Did you ever read from those Choose Your Own Adventure
books when you were a kid? You know the ones: Skateboard Champion and
The Master of Tae Kwon Do where you had to ace the skateboard competition to
earn respect or master the ways of Korean martial arts. Ah, good times. The
series is actually defunct but I've decided to revive it a little this week with
a new adventure installment called: Demolitions Expert! The choices you make
will either blow up your team's point totals or blow you up. Either way the aim
is to make the biggest explosion you can.
Now choose: I'm eager to be your grasshopper! (see #2) or I've
become the master now (surf to another site where the information is less
useful)
2. It's your draft day. The clock is ticking and the pressure
is immense. What will you do in these early drafting rounds? Anyone can pick
Ray Lewis or Keith Bulluck but do you know who may be a worthy
Demeco Ryans this year? Whoa 10 seconds to go 9…8…7… Do you choose Posluszny
or the much steadier and safer Andra Davis? 6…5…4…
Now choose: I want Mr. Steady Andra Davis (see #5) or I
believe in youth at LB. Gimme Posluszny (see #3)
3. You decided on Posluszny. This is almost a mortal lock.
He's got better bulk than London Fletcher and will be targeted often his first
season in the NFL. Paul Posluszny will be an immediate impact player
because of the porous Bills front four. Teams ran well and regularly up the
middle on this foursome and will continue to do so until the Bills can correct
this. If there's any concern it's that he is moved to an outside spot and
replaced by Crowell because of early inexperience. There's nothing suggesting
this now. No time for back patting as you have yet another near immediate
selection to make. The choices will no longer be so easy. Will it be Demarcus
Ware or Adalius Thomas young one?
Now choose: I want Thomas. The draft guides love him, ESPN
loves him, I should too. (see #6) or I want Ware. IDPBlitz turned me on to him
last season and it paid off HUGE for me heading into the playoffs (see #4).
4. Well it looks like we have ourselves a hot shot on the
demo squad. Demarcus Ware is set to blow up BIG this year, but in a good way. We
sort of missed this guy for a few weeks and then --BOOM- he became blue-silver
rocket on the IDPBlitz.com screen. It'll be harder to let him spill into later
rounds because of this, but he's probably not going to be in anyone's top 10
picks at LB. Dallas has made a lot of off-season moves to benefit the defense.
Ken Hamlin signed on to be another heavy with Roy Williams. The
Boys also drafted Anthony Spencer in an attempt to put more pressure on
the opposing QBs. They even snapped up Leonard Davis at tackle. At 375
plus pounds he's expected to fill some holes; and all of this leaves the road
open for Ware. Wade Phillips is a big play signal caller and will let Ware lose.
You have a moment to preen here and that's about it. You can see that Bob
Sanders is still available. Much farther down your list you see the name Donte
Whitner but you cannot recall how he got there.
Now choose: I want Whitner, the young stud from Buffalo who
met expectations. I play in a tackle heavy league and see a star before me. (see
#7) or Hellllooo, I'm taking Sanders. Isn't everyone? (see #8)
5. You chose Andra Davis. You decided to play it safe. Davis
will likely lead Cleveland in tackles this season and you can expect numbers
similar to last season with 80 or so solos and another 20-30 assisted tackles.
But safe isn't always best in the early rounds of a draft, and Davis may lose
numbers to the younger guys around him. The bomb hasn't blown up in your face,
but better choices could have been made. (see #3).
6. Oh, I'm sorry you chose Thomas over Ware. Well, OK, this
is not the end of the world. Thomas has done nothing but improve every season,
but that was in Baltimore. I wouldn't take anything away from Bellichek but I
just don't see Thomas performing better than last season in NE. NE is about
playing your role. About playing within a designated set of parameters. Yes,
Adalius will put some stats together but I see him coming in with less sacks
this season. He's playing inside on a 4-3 scheme and the Patriots front four
will cut into his chances for tackles in some games. The key for Thomas is how
quickly he can learn the NE way and how durable Tedy Bruschi, Junior
Seau, Mike Vrabel, and Rosevelt Colvin remain. If they stay
healthy all the way, I see all of their numbers being almost interchangeable in
tackles. Colvin may well surpass him in sacks as that's his primary role in NE
now. (See my Thrifty Picks article for more on Colvin.) Hey, buck up
pally. No real harm done here. Get ready for a set of middle round selections.
(see #4)
7. You chose Donte Whitner. Whitner is highly regarded
in Buffalo. He's built similarly to Sanders in height and weight but he doesn't
play as close to the line. He had over 100 tackles in his first season and added
a pick. More big plays would have been nice but he was learning his way in the
NFL. Whitner had 7 or more total tackles in 13 of 16 games. Some of this is the
result of playing for Buffalo, and as you are aware little has changed. Whitner
is a great pick in dynasty or keeper leagues. He's less likely to face injury
and he doesn't have to worry as much of being supplanted --something Dungy will
do without hesitation ala Bethea last year. (see #8 to understand why you've
chosen wisely or see #9 to continue your draft day adventure.)
8. You chose Bob Sanders. The fantasy world is high on
Sanders for the moment and he certainly has the athleticism and talent to meet
expectations, but we feel he'll disappoint more than reward by season's end.
He's labeled "fearless" which is about as high a compliment as can be given in
the NFL. However, at 5 feet 8 inches tall and a shade over 200 pounds that's a
pretty good way to end up severely injured. Sanders produces like a number one
DB when healthy. He is, unfortunately, an accident waiting to happen. If he
remains healthy all season, we will look dead wrong for making this call. We'll
let you know how we fared in December. (see #7 to see where you still need to
grow, or see#9 and hope the gods of health smile upon you.)
9. Your draft is going well you feel. There were moments of
great doubt, concern, and worry that your boss would find out why you really
called in sick today, but you've marched onward. The late rounds are here and
you sense some gems on the horizon at the DL spot. John Abraham rings a
bell as a former solid player, but the more steady Justin Smith is
sitting there for the picking too. You don't have time to check the guides on
this one and you haven't ranked the DL position very much.
Now choose: I want Abraham. I believe his injuries are behind
him (see #10) or I like Justin Smith. He's the only option in Cincinnati and
entering his prime years. (see #11)
10. John Abraham has produced 40 sacks in the 56 games he's
played in. That is an incredible ratio for a DLer. Abraham is quick and
experienced. He's playing in Atlanta in a 4-3 scheme that is ideal for him. He
posts good tackle numbers for a DLer too. The knock of course is his durability.
He's had a groin injury for a couple of years now that has limited him. Atlanta
would have been wise to shut him down last year at first sight of it. He played
sparingly even so. What makes Abraham the better pick over Smith is the talent
level. Smith is no Abraham. He'll likely never his double-digit sacks. Abraham
still has that type of ability, if healthy. (see #12)
11. You chose Justin Smith. Ah I see someone is a previous
subscriber to IDPBlitz. We had Smith last year as a potential breakout player.
His numbers were trending upward and he was hitting all the key marks for a
breakout when considering time in the league and age. He began well the first
part of the season with 8 sacks but could only manage .5 sacks the rest of the
way. Was he secretly hurting? There have been no words to that affect. Did he
tire out? Probably. Teams started double and triple teaming him and it kept him
in check. He's still a marked man this season. He'll get his tackles and make
some plays but a repeat of 2006 seems most likely. He continues to have upside
talent-wise just not reality-wise until Cincy can help get pressure on opposing
QBs. (see #10)
12. Hey man, you did it. You survived the draft with only a
few bumps along the way. You're officially a demolitions expert. You know what
pitfalls to avoid so little will explode in your face. Most of your picks are
set to blow up in a big way for your team. Competing owners are going to claim
you got lucky but you know better. You remember your training, smile, and tell
them, "Remember you said that when I win it all again next season." (see: You
winning it all in December)
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