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home | IDP Blogs | Choose your own adventure: Demolitio . . .
 

Choose your own adventure: Demolitions Expert!
Landon Reed

You must choose: I want to read this article (see #1) or I don't wish to benefit from the great content IDPBlitz provides (skip to the end)

1. Did you ever read from those Choose Your Own Adventure books when you were a kid? You know the ones: Skateboard Champion and The Master of Tae Kwon Do where you had to ace the skateboard competition to earn respect or master the ways of Korean martial arts. Ah, good times. The series is actually defunct but I've decided to revive it a little this week with a new adventure installment called: Demolitions Expert! The choices you make will either blow up your team's point totals or blow you up. Either way the aim is to make the biggest explosion you can.

Now choose: I'm eager to be your grasshopper! (see #2) or I've become the master now (surf to another site where the information is less useful)

2. It's your draft day. The clock is ticking and the pressure is immense. What will you do in these early drafting rounds? Anyone can pick Ray Lewis or Keith Bulluck but do you know who may be a worthy Demeco Ryans this year? Whoa 10 seconds to go 9…8…7… Do you choose Posluszny or the much steadier and safer Andra Davis? 6…5…4…

Now choose: I want Mr. Steady Andra Davis (see #5) or I believe in youth at LB. Gimme Posluszny (see #3)

3. You decided on Posluszny. This is almost a mortal lock. He's got better bulk than London Fletcher and will be targeted often his first season in the NFL. Paul Posluszny will be an immediate impact player because of the porous Bills front four. Teams ran well and regularly up the middle on this foursome and will continue to do so until the Bills can correct this. If there's any concern it's that he is moved to an outside spot and replaced by Crowell because of early inexperience. There's nothing suggesting this now. No time for back patting as you have yet another near immediate selection to make. The choices will no longer be so easy. Will it be Demarcus Ware or Adalius Thomas young one?

Now choose: I want Thomas. The draft guides love him, ESPN loves him, I should too. (see #6) or I want Ware. IDPBlitz turned me on to him last season and it paid off HUGE for me heading into the playoffs (see #4).

4. Well it looks like we have ourselves a hot shot on the demo squad. Demarcus Ware is set to blow up BIG this year, but in a good way. We sort of missed this guy for a few weeks and then --BOOM- he became blue-silver rocket on the IDPBlitz.com screen. It'll be harder to let him spill into later rounds because of this, but he's probably not going to be in anyone's top 10 picks at LB. Dallas has made a lot of off-season moves to benefit the defense. Ken Hamlin signed on to be another heavy with Roy Williams. The Boys also drafted Anthony Spencer in an attempt to put more pressure on the opposing QBs. They even snapped up Leonard Davis at tackle. At 375 plus pounds he's expected to fill some holes; and all of this leaves the road open for Ware. Wade Phillips is a big play signal caller and will let Ware lose. You have a moment to preen here and that's about it. You can see that Bob Sanders is still available. Much farther down your list you see the name Donte Whitner but you cannot recall how he got there.

Now choose: I want Whitner, the young stud from Buffalo who met expectations. I play in a tackle heavy league and see a star before me. (see #7) or Hellllooo, I'm taking Sanders. Isn't everyone? (see #8)

5. You chose Andra Davis. You decided to play it safe. Davis will likely lead Cleveland in tackles this season and you can expect numbers similar to last season with 80 or so solos and another 20-30 assisted tackles. But safe isn't always best in the early rounds of a draft, and Davis may lose numbers to the younger guys around him. The bomb hasn't blown up in your face, but better choices could have been made. (see #3).

6. Oh, I'm sorry you chose Thomas over Ware. Well, OK, this is not the end of the world. Thomas has done nothing but improve every season, but that was in Baltimore. I wouldn't take anything away from Bellichek but I just don't see Thomas performing better than last season in NE. NE is about playing your role. About playing within a designated set of parameters. Yes, Adalius will put some stats together but I see him coming in with less sacks this season. He's playing inside on a 4-3 scheme and the Patriots front four will cut into his chances for tackles in some games. The key for Thomas is how quickly he can learn the NE way and how durable Tedy Bruschi, Junior Seau, Mike Vrabel, and Rosevelt Colvin remain. If they stay healthy all the way, I see all of their numbers being almost interchangeable in tackles. Colvin may well surpass him in sacks as that's his primary role in NE now. (See my Thrifty Picks article for more on Colvin.) Hey, buck up pally. No real harm done here. Get ready for a set of middle round selections. (see #4)

7. You chose Donte Whitner. Whitner is highly regarded in Buffalo. He's built similarly to Sanders in height and weight but he doesn't play as close to the line. He had over 100 tackles in his first season and added a pick. More big plays would have been nice but he was learning his way in the NFL. Whitner had 7 or more total tackles in 13 of 16 games. Some of this is the result of playing for Buffalo, and as you are aware little has changed. Whitner is a great pick in dynasty or keeper leagues. He's less likely to face injury and he doesn't have to worry as much of being supplanted --something Dungy will do without hesitation ala Bethea last year. (see #8 to understand why you've chosen wisely or see #9 to continue your draft day adventure.)

8. You chose Bob Sanders. The fantasy world is high on Sanders for the moment and he certainly has the athleticism and talent to meet expectations, but we feel he'll disappoint more than reward by season's end. He's labeled "fearless" which is about as high a compliment as can be given in the NFL. However, at 5 feet 8 inches tall and a shade over 200 pounds that's a pretty good way to end up severely injured. Sanders produces like a number one DB when healthy. He is, unfortunately, an accident waiting to happen. If he remains healthy all season, we will look dead wrong for making this call. We'll let you know how we fared in December. (see #7 to see where you still need to grow, or see#9 and hope the gods of health smile upon you.)

9. Your draft is going well you feel. There were moments of great doubt, concern, and worry that your boss would find out why you really called in sick today, but you've marched onward. The late rounds are here and you sense some gems on the horizon at the DL spot. John Abraham rings a bell as a former solid player, but the more steady Justin Smith is sitting there for the picking too. You don't have time to check the guides on this one and you haven't ranked the DL position very much.

Now choose: I want Abraham. I believe his injuries are behind him (see #10) or I like Justin Smith. He's the only option in Cincinnati and entering his prime years. (see #11)

10. John Abraham has produced 40 sacks in the 56 games he's played in. That is an incredible ratio for a DLer. Abraham is quick and experienced. He's playing in Atlanta in a 4-3 scheme that is ideal for him. He posts good tackle numbers for a DLer too. The knock of course is his durability. He's had a groin injury for a couple of years now that has limited him. Atlanta would have been wise to shut him down last year at first sight of it. He played sparingly even so. What makes Abraham the better pick over Smith is the talent level. Smith is no Abraham. He'll likely never his double-digit sacks. Abraham still has that type of ability, if healthy. (see #12)

11. You chose Justin Smith. Ah I see someone is a previous subscriber to IDPBlitz. We had Smith last year as a potential breakout player. His numbers were trending upward and he was hitting all the key marks for a breakout when considering time in the league and age. He began well the first part of the season with 8 sacks but could only manage .5 sacks the rest of the way. Was he secretly hurting? There have been no words to that affect. Did he tire out? Probably. Teams started double and triple teaming him and it kept him in check. He's still a marked man this season. He'll get his tackles and make some plays but a repeat of 2006 seems most likely. He continues to have upside talent-wise just not reality-wise until Cincy can help get pressure on opposing QBs. (see #10)

12. Hey man, you did it. You survived the draft with only a few bumps along the way. You're officially a demolitions expert. You know what pitfalls to avoid so little will explode in your face. Most of your picks are set to blow up in a big way for your team. Competing owners are going to claim you got lucky but you know better. You remember your training, smile, and tell them, "Remember you said that when I win it all again next season." (see: You winning it all in December)